While everyone's preoccupied with Labor Day weekend plans, back to school and Rosh Hashanah just around the corner, few are paying attention that the Middle East is a powder keg that could explode sky-high in a split second. The current political-military climate is almost identical to what it was in December of 1990, before the USA attacked Iraq. For those who don't know, or forgot, Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait in August of 1990. His dream was to control all of Arabian Gulf oil and therefore cripple the US economy. In his chutzpa, he moved to control the Straits of Hormuz and so obstruct and control any Middle East oil shipments through that super vital route out of the Gulf to all points east and west. If Saddam would have been able to do that, it would have been a knife to the West's economic jugular. The USA could not let that happen, so after an ultimatum, it attacked Iraq on Jan. 15, 1991.
Iraq, having a ten-year long unsettled score with Israel, who had destroyed Saddam's nuclear reactor in 1981, was itching for revenge. As soon as America attacked Baghdad, Saddam made a huge missile attack on Israel, something we won't forget for a long time.
Fast Forward, August 28, 2018: Iran's economy is collapsing, after the US's rescinding the ridiculous nuclear treaty and renewing sanctions, real ones, that hurt. There are spontaneous protests all over Iran against Rouhani and the Ayatolla government.
Rouhani and the Ayatollas are about to lose control. They are acting now out of desperation and have done two rash things:
- They just now signed a defense pact with Syria, defying both Russia and the USA while daring Israel, and thereby attaining a quasi-legal license to remain entrenched in Syria.
- They have just now declared that they control the Straits of Hormuz and therefore the entire Persian Gulf.
Note that 20% of the entire world's oil flows through the Straits of Hormuz.
Iran wants one of two things: either peace for an ease of US sanctions or to lure the USA into an armed conflict in order to give them the justification to launch a massive missile attack against Israel, which has already been planned to the minutest detail. Don't forget, in recent months Israel has repeatedly attacked Iranian weapons stores and military bases in Syria. Iran wants revenge and so does Syria, for Israel's destroying its nuclear reactor in 2007.
Yes, Israel has a powerful army, but deterrence has no meaning to desperados; both Rouhani and Assad are desperate. Both need to redirect their disgruntled populations' attention from starvation to Jihad. It's Saddam Hussein all over again.
There's one difference, though. The Gemara tells us that the end-of-days showdown will be between Iran and the USA. We have before us, without being dramatic, the potential of World War III and an existential war for Israel. Will it happen?
It depends on two things only - teshuva and emuna. It's Elul - we have no time to waste. Our individual self-strengthening in teshuva and in emuna are critical to the security of our people and our country. This is no joke. If Rouhani wants to play Russian Roulette with the West, Hashem could put the bullet in the very first chamber, honoring Rouhani with the first squeeze of the trigger. Hashem can snap His fingers and there's no more threat against the USA and Israel, but Hashem is waiting to see what you and I do in the next few days before Rosh Hashanah. Meanwhile, say Psalm 27 twice a day with fervor. G-d bless!